“Global nitrogen deposition and carbon sinks”. Dave S. Reay; Frank Dentener; Pete Smith; John Grace; Richard A. Feely. nature geoscience. 2008-07. I read the PDF that I found by googling for the title and clicking on the first PDF in the results. Pay-walls suck.
A paper about nitrogen’s rôle in the carbon cycle, looking at what we know about how nitrogen influences the major carbon sinks (forests and soil on land, and the ocean). By the way, Nr is reactive nitrogen (they use this symbol, and so shall I).
Probably worth reading if you are starting to think about the secondary effects of emissions. But don’t let it distract from the big picture. We’re burning too much carbon, and it’s not going to help with that.
I am not a climate scientist. But this is not a deep paper, it is mostly an overview; it’s 8 pages long and mostly consists of summarising other works; it references 92 papers (and still misses at least one: they make use of the IPCC SRES scenarios, but fail to reference the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios). The paper does not discuss the nitrogen cycle at all (despite being a paper about nitrogen deposition). Nor does it discuss other greenhouse gasses apart from CO2; in particular N2O, a greenhouse gas itself, is only discussed as a reactive nitrogen emission (from soil, for example) and its effect on nitrating a CO2 sink. This seems odd. But to incorporate the nitrogen cycle and other greenhouse gasses at the same time would be both potentially confusing, and lead to a much less accessible paper.
It seems very comprehensive. I have not read most of the referenced works (in fact, I’ve read only 1 I think, part of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report), but they seem to be reasonably summarised, and the paper as a whole covers a lot of ground in its 8 pages. The paper first discusses the current emissions and their likely increase (not everywhere; European reactive nitrogen emissions are likely to decline). The rest of the paper is split between the 3 main carbon sinks: forest, soil, ocean.
The main theme of the paper is uncertainty. Having reviewed the available literature it seems that the effects of reactive nitrogen have been difficult to quantify so far. For example, the effect on carbon sequestration in the boreal forest of reactive nitrogen is summarised as being somewhere between 40 g C per g Nr and 200 g C per g Nr. Quite a wide range.
The bottom line is… yes a bit of extra sequestration in the oceans, some in the boreal forest. And not enough is know about the topical forest. Which is a shame, because it looks like that’s where a lot of the future Nr is going to get dumped. Overall, the extra sequestration will be noticeable (amounting to not more than 3 billion tonnes CO2 per year), but not really enough to have any useful effect. And a lot of that useful effect is negated by the greenhouse gas emissions themselves.
Niggles relegated to an appendix
Mostly the text uses Petagrammes (Pg), “emissions reached 7.2 Pg of carbon per year” that sort of thing, but then the diagrams, borrowed from the IPCC, use Gigatonnes (Gt). These are actually the same unit. It would be better to choose one unit and stick to it.
On two pages we see global maps comparing the distribution and strength of nitrogen deposition. Over land and oceans on page 432, and over the ocean on page 434. There are several problems with these maps, mostly in the inconsistent presentation. The first set of maps, page 432, shows the current (year 2000) nitrogen deposition and two different projections for the year 2030. The second set, page 434, shows the pre-industrial distribution of nitrogen deposition, current (1990s) deposition, and a project under the SRES A1FI scenario. One set of maps puts the prime meridian in the centre and goes from -180 to +180, the other set puts the prime meridian at the left and goes from 0 to +360. Latitudes are marked “60ºN, 30ºN, EQ” on one set, and “90ºN, 45ºN, 0ºN” on another. They are different sizes. One set of maps uses g N m-2 yr-1 the other uses mg N m-2 yr-1 (then, later in the text, kg Nr ha-1 yr-1; garhh!). The scales are different. The number and selection of colours is different. One set is labelled “Global distribution of total Nr deposition”, the other “Global distribution of oceanic nitrogen deposition”. Nr is the symbol they introduce for reactive nitrogen. Are the oceanic depositions reactive nitrogen? Probably, but they fail to say so it introduces ambiguity.
I know why the maps are like that. It’s because they were borrowed from other papers. But this points to a problem in the scientific community. It should be easy to take visualisations from different sources and massage them into a consistent presentation format. The fact that it’s obviously not easy is bad.
Incidentally I note that the maps use the equirectangular projection, they don’t say this, and I never knew its name until I looked it up on Wikipedia for this review. I still find this a strange projection to use, but it does seem to be common in scientific communities.
Oh yeah, and for some reason the band from 45ºS to 90ºS on the oceanic set is strangely squashed.
Posted by drj11